If we lose, we could fall all the way to a tie for eighth with Ball State (in the worst case scenario). Having split with them, it then goes to your record against the highest seeded team. We are 1-0 against Miami and Ball St is 0-2. So worst case is we host Ball State on Monday.
With a win, I think the worst we do is is the #5 seed. Miami and Western are ahead of us no matter what. Since we are 1-0 against both Buffalo and Kent, getting into a tie-breaker with those two involved with us gives us the advantage. If Western, Akron and Ohio would all win Saturday, we would be the #5 seed and host Central again on Monday.
I think

