Ay-Ziggy-Zoomba.com

I have been bored at work and able to do little things to fill in the holes...In a recent discussion on another board someone said that they thought that the non BCS schools probably have a 5% winning percentage against BCS schools. I said he was wrong, way wrong and then decided to find out for sure.

I have a spreadsheet that does not transfer well to this format if anyone wants to see it I can send it. Anyways, its pretty interesting stuff. Its for 2007 only

Con USA
Win % v BCS: 7.4% as a conference (2-25)
Win % of teams with winning records v BCS: 14.25% as a conference (2-12)
% of Home games: 42.3% (11 home 15 away 1 neutral)

MAC
Win % v BCS: 11.9% as a conference (5-37)
Win % of teams with winning records v BCS: 9.09% (1-10)
% of Home games: 22.5% (9h 31a 2n)

MWC (edit)
Win % v BCS: 38.88% (7-11)
Win % of teams with winning records v BCS: 63.63% (7-4)
% of Home games: 43.75% (7h 9a 2n)

Sun Belt
Win % v BCS: 11.53% (3-23)
Win % of teams with winning records v BCS: 22.22% (3-23)
% of Home games: 19.23% (5h 21a 0n)

WAC
Win % v BCS: 15.78% (3-16)
Win % of teams with winning records v BCS: 42.85% (3-4)
% of Home games: 11.76%% (2h 15a 2n)

Total
Win % v BCS: 15.15% (20-112)
Win % of teams with winning records v BCS: 28.84% (15-37)
% of Home games: 27.20% (34h 91a 7n)

Home Win %: 26.47% (9-25)
Away Win %: 11.22% (11-87)

I also compiled a list of all the BCS schools and there schedules last year of OOC games to see what percentage of OOC home games these schools have.

SEC 39 9 81%
Big 10 33 11 75%
Pac 10 21 9 70%
Big 12 32 16 66.60%
Big East 25 15 62.50%
ACC 29 19 60.40%

As time allows I am going to look at the end of the season top ten rankings and see how many OOC games they played.

I am also going to take a look at the other 5 conferences and see how they compare and look at the upcoming year to see if the data from 2007 is a trend.

The top 15 teams going into last years bowl games played 75% of their OOC games at home.

1 OSU 3 1
2 LSU 3 1
3 Va Tech 3 1
4 Oklahoma 3 1
5 Georgia 3 1
6 Mizzou 2 2
7 USC 1 2
8 Kansas 4 0
9 WV 3 2
10 Hawaii 3 1
11 Arizona St 3 0
12 Florida 4 0
13 Illinois 3 1
14 BC 3 1
15 Clemson 3 1
44 15 74%

I love this sort of analysis. It's fun to run the numbers in the face of those who decide to make such argumentative and disrespectful (probably to harsh a word) claims. However, I believe that we should ignore all these comparisons with the BCS conferences and worry strictly about building our own program. Success will be built upon hard work and Falcon pride.

Having pride in a school I never went to didn't make any sense to me anymore. I'm home now.

Globe, what do you do for a living? I have a job with down time, but I'm just too lazy to do the analysis you're doing. Thanks for the research. It's pretty interesting stuff.

FortWayneFalcon wrote:I love this sort of analysis. It's fun to run the numbers in the face of those who decide to make such argumentative and disrespectful (probably to harsh a word) claims. However, I believe that we should ignore all these comparisons with the BCS conferences and worry strictly about building our own program. Success will be built upon hard work and Falcon pride.

Having pride in a school I never went to didn't make any sense to me anymore. I'm home now.

Great to hear you turned from the dark side of the force. Welcome back!

Globetrotter wrote: SEC 39 9 81%
Big 10 33 11 75%
Pac 10 21 9 70%
Big 12 32 16 66.60%
Big East 25 15 62.50%
ACC 29 19 60.40%

WAC 18 18 50%
MWC 18 18 50%
Con USA 24 24 50%
MAC 22 36 37.93%
Sun Belt 14 26 35%

Completed the final 5. We are better only then the Sun Belt.

2007
SEC 39 9 81%
Big 10 33 11 75%
Pac 10 21 9 70%
Big 12 32 16 66.60%
Big East 25 15 62.50%
ACC 29 19 60.40%
WAC 18 18 50%
MWC 18 18 50%
Con USA 24 24 50%
MAC 22 36 37.93%
Sun Belt 14 26 35%

2008
Big 12 37 11 77.08%
ACC 36 12 75%
Big Ten 33 11 75%
SEC 35 13 72.91%
Pac Ten 20 10 66.60%
Big East 24 16 60%
MWC 20 16 55.55%
Con USA 24 24 50%
WAC 18 19 48.64%
MAC 20 32 38.46%
Sun Belt 12 28 30%

Overall
SEC 74 22 77.08%
Big 10 66 22 75%
Big 12 69 27 71.87%
Pac 10 41 19 68%
ACC 65 31 67.70%
Big East 49 31 61.25%
MWC 38 34 52.77%
Con USA 48 48 50%
WAC 36 37 49%
MAC 42 68 38.18%
Sun Belt 26 54 32.50%

6 home games and 6 away games should be a rule. Imagine the NFL if the Patriots played 12 home games and 4 away. Or Baseball if the Yankees played 120 home games and 40 on the road. Its hard not to dominate when the deck is completely stacked for you.