On the Future of the MAC, Mid-Majors, and Bowl Games.
Posted: Tue Nov 16, 2004 10:42 am
http://www.toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dl ... /-1/SPORTS
I think this is a great thing for the MAC, but that goes without saying. I think it is a hint of great things yet to come as well, not just for the MAC but all of the Mid-Majors.
First, it is appropriate that Marshall is leaving the MAC this year. Ungrateful Herd fans have always felt they were the center of the Universe, so it is fitting they leave having proven they are not on the field, and that the MAC no longer cares if they stay or go.
The success of Marshall was the impedes for the MACs accelerated improvement and the initial leverage point for more TV and bowl attention. Herd fans have long seen themselves as being the only bright point in the MAC. Yet, it has quickly faded to a secondary story in the MAC. Over the last four years the MAC has dispelled the image of being a one-horse conference. The national media realizes the MAC needs to be followed each year, not just when a team makes a splash. People who watch college football recognize Miami, BGSU, NIU, and Toledo, as well as they ever did Marshall. It is this fact that is at the heart of what is happening this year.
The TV networks and Bowl games have gotten comfortable with being able to sell a MAC team being on TV or in a post season contest. How many fans you can bring is ultimately secondary to how good a story your team presents. A good story, ranking, or star player equals TV ratings, which is better than fans in the seats.
The MAC has proven it can produce several teams able to bring a great story and team to bowls and TV.
Combine this with the trouble filling bowl games this year, and suddenly the MAC is at the front of the line to negotiate new bowl affiliations. The MAC will emerge from this year with a third bid in Toronto, but a side agreement with at least one, maybe two other bowls. Plus a fourth "locked" bid could emerge in Indiana by the end of the next season or two.
The cycle of TV exposure, post season play, and national rankings and PR will continue to feed on itself. Recruiting reach and results will continue to improve. Fans will feel more drawn to support their teams. Fans will not write a season off after a single loss, having bowls to hope for. Attendance will improve on its own. Money gets raised, facilities get improved.
On the rise of the Mid-Majors.
Never-mind Utah. The real story right now is still Boise State. That a mid-major team is making a run to a BCS bowl isn't news now.
That a second non-BCS, mid-major team like Boise remains undefeated, and is still climbing in the polls is a harbinger of things to come. First, it shows the change in the demographics of the "coaching fraternity." Basic numbers will tell you that in the last 15 years, a large number of young coaches have climbed up the ranks of the profession. The once small and loyal cadre of coaches, linked to only the handful of top programs has spread to a much wider base of programs. Combined with results on the field, there is much less reluctance for coaches to vote their colleges into higher and higher rankings. Second, we are always going to have a "Utah" in the polls now. Third, a Boise State floating around in the top 15 means we are starting to see an even deeper pool of mid-major teams contending for a BCS bid. Right now Boise State might not have a chance. However their situation is very much like that of NIU, Marshall, and even BGSU during recent years.
This makes the BCS adding a 5th bowl not only a positive, but a necessity. In five years, they will not only have one mid-major fighting for a bid, but several.
How does this tie into the MAC getting bids in a year like this? Bowl organizers recognize that great stories get ratings and sell tickets. That has value to sponsors and for selling TV rights. A Boise State or BGSU, or NIU, snubbed by the BCS, makes for a better story than Fresno State playing a 6-5 Minnesota. Five years ago, bowls fought tooth and nail to get a bottom feeder from a major conference. Now they know there is an alternative.
I think this is a great thing for the MAC, but that goes without saying. I think it is a hint of great things yet to come as well, not just for the MAC but all of the Mid-Majors.
First, it is appropriate that Marshall is leaving the MAC this year. Ungrateful Herd fans have always felt they were the center of the Universe, so it is fitting they leave having proven they are not on the field, and that the MAC no longer cares if they stay or go.
The success of Marshall was the impedes for the MACs accelerated improvement and the initial leverage point for more TV and bowl attention. Herd fans have long seen themselves as being the only bright point in the MAC. Yet, it has quickly faded to a secondary story in the MAC. Over the last four years the MAC has dispelled the image of being a one-horse conference. The national media realizes the MAC needs to be followed each year, not just when a team makes a splash. People who watch college football recognize Miami, BGSU, NIU, and Toledo, as well as they ever did Marshall. It is this fact that is at the heart of what is happening this year.
The TV networks and Bowl games have gotten comfortable with being able to sell a MAC team being on TV or in a post season contest. How many fans you can bring is ultimately secondary to how good a story your team presents. A good story, ranking, or star player equals TV ratings, which is better than fans in the seats.
The MAC has proven it can produce several teams able to bring a great story and team to bowls and TV.
Combine this with the trouble filling bowl games this year, and suddenly the MAC is at the front of the line to negotiate new bowl affiliations. The MAC will emerge from this year with a third bid in Toronto, but a side agreement with at least one, maybe two other bowls. Plus a fourth "locked" bid could emerge in Indiana by the end of the next season or two.
The cycle of TV exposure, post season play, and national rankings and PR will continue to feed on itself. Recruiting reach and results will continue to improve. Fans will feel more drawn to support their teams. Fans will not write a season off after a single loss, having bowls to hope for. Attendance will improve on its own. Money gets raised, facilities get improved.
On the rise of the Mid-Majors.
Never-mind Utah. The real story right now is still Boise State. That a mid-major team is making a run to a BCS bowl isn't news now.
That a second non-BCS, mid-major team like Boise remains undefeated, and is still climbing in the polls is a harbinger of things to come. First, it shows the change in the demographics of the "coaching fraternity." Basic numbers will tell you that in the last 15 years, a large number of young coaches have climbed up the ranks of the profession. The once small and loyal cadre of coaches, linked to only the handful of top programs has spread to a much wider base of programs. Combined with results on the field, there is much less reluctance for coaches to vote their colleges into higher and higher rankings. Second, we are always going to have a "Utah" in the polls now. Third, a Boise State floating around in the top 15 means we are starting to see an even deeper pool of mid-major teams contending for a BCS bid. Right now Boise State might not have a chance. However their situation is very much like that of NIU, Marshall, and even BGSU during recent years.
This makes the BCS adding a 5th bowl not only a positive, but a necessity. In five years, they will not only have one mid-major fighting for a bid, but several.
How does this tie into the MAC getting bids in a year like this? Bowl organizers recognize that great stories get ratings and sell tickets. That has value to sponsors and for selling TV rights. A Boise State or BGSU, or NIU, snubbed by the BCS, makes for a better story than Fresno State playing a 6-5 Minnesota. Five years ago, bowls fought tooth and nail to get a bottom feeder from a major conference. Now they know there is an alternative.