Buffalo Predictions
Posted: Thu Sep 30, 2010 9:22 am
Seeing as it's Thursday and the prediction thread isn't up yet, I'll get it moving.
Last week's result - Bowling Green 21 - Michigan 65
Projected - Bowling Green 17 - Michigan 38
Season picks record - 4-0
This week's game - Buffalo @ Bowling Green
This game is going to be somewhat difficult to project for a couple of reasons, but the biggest being that we don't know who is going to start at QB for the Falcons. If Schilz plays, our chances of victory are well north of 50%, but if Pankratz has to go again, then it's probably no better than a coin flip. Buffalo hasn't played all that well so far, with no wins against 1-A opposition in 4 weeks. They appear to be more defensively based than BG. If the game gets into the 30s or higher I think BG wins it.
I'm going to go on the assumption that Schilz does play and that BG gets it done at home.
Buffalo 28
Bowling Green 38
probability of victory:
with Schilz - 75%
with Pankratz - 45%
Last week's result - Bowling Green 21 - Michigan 65
Projected - Bowling Green 17 - Michigan 38
Season picks record - 4-0
This week's game - Buffalo @ Bowling Green
This game is going to be somewhat difficult to project for a couple of reasons, but the biggest being that we don't know who is going to start at QB for the Falcons. If Schilz plays, our chances of victory are well north of 50%, but if Pankratz has to go again, then it's probably no better than a coin flip. Buffalo hasn't played all that well so far, with no wins against 1-A opposition in 4 weeks. They appear to be more defensively based than BG. If the game gets into the 30s or higher I think BG wins it.
I'm going to go on the assumption that Schilz does play and that BG gets it done at home.
Buffalo 28
Bowling Green 38
probability of victory:
with Schilz - 75%
with Pankratz - 45%