Ohio Predictions
Posted: Sat Oct 09, 2010 12:41 am
Wow, no prediction thread and it's the day of the game? What's up with that?
Anyway, to the board.
Last week's prediction - Bowling Green 38 - Buffalo 28
Actual - Buffalo 28 - Bowling Green 26
Season record - 4-1
I'm actually quite salty about last week, because I had Buffalo's score nailed, right on the dot. If Schilz would have started as I anticipated he would, the prediction could've been perfect or close to it. Instead, Pankratz plays, and thanks to his sorry play and a couple of missed kicks, BG ended up booting a game they could've had.
Now as for this week. Honestly, I have no friggin clue what's going to happen out there. I'm so hopelessly confused but there is one thing I do know. If Matt Schilz is in the lineup, BG is the better team of the two based on what we've seen so far. If he's not on the field, BG is one of the worst teams in all of I-A, and Ohio is the better bunch. Ohio is home, but BG has won consistently in Athens in fact, the road team has won the last 4 overall in this series. So I'm going to do something I rarely do, and should have done last week, make two seperate calls based on who the starting QB is.
Prediction #1 - with Schilz at QB
Bowling Green 42
Ohio 35
probability of victory - 60%
Prediction #2 - without Schilz at QB
Bowling Green 14
Ohio 31
probability of victory - 15%
There, I've covered my bases this time. Hopefully BG comes out victorious, we need it.
Anyway, to the board.
Last week's prediction - Bowling Green 38 - Buffalo 28
Actual - Buffalo 28 - Bowling Green 26
Season record - 4-1
I'm actually quite salty about last week, because I had Buffalo's score nailed, right on the dot. If Schilz would have started as I anticipated he would, the prediction could've been perfect or close to it. Instead, Pankratz plays, and thanks to his sorry play and a couple of missed kicks, BG ended up booting a game they could've had.
Now as for this week. Honestly, I have no friggin clue what's going to happen out there. I'm so hopelessly confused but there is one thing I do know. If Matt Schilz is in the lineup, BG is the better team of the two based on what we've seen so far. If he's not on the field, BG is one of the worst teams in all of I-A, and Ohio is the better bunch. Ohio is home, but BG has won consistently in Athens in fact, the road team has won the last 4 overall in this series. So I'm going to do something I rarely do, and should have done last week, make two seperate calls based on who the starting QB is.
Prediction #1 - with Schilz at QB
Bowling Green 42
Ohio 35
probability of victory - 60%
Prediction #2 - without Schilz at QB
Bowling Green 14
Ohio 31
probability of victory - 15%
There, I've covered my bases this time. Hopefully BG comes out victorious, we need it.