NIU plays vs WMU vs Ohio
TSUN plays @ BG Win vs WMU
All credit to Hustle Belt...
http://www.hustlebelt.com/mac-football/ ... toledo-niu
Western Michigan wins the West
- Scenario #1: The Broncos win out.
How it plays out: This is the easiest to define. WMU would be 7-1 and their West counterparts would all have at least two losses.
- Scenario #1: The Huskies win out
How it plays out: At best, if Toledo wins out, then we have a tie at 7-1, but NIU has the head-to-head tiebreaker. Otherwise, you have a 7-1 champion over 6-2 teams
Scenario #2: NIU beats WMU, loses to Ohio, Toledo loses a game
How it plays out: With wins over both the Broncos and Rockets, it wouldn't matter how the tie-breakers shook out. With CMU, their combined head-to-head would be good enough to keep them alive for the 2nd round to face the WMU/UT winner (which they'd have the head-to-head win).
- Scenario #1: Toledo beats BG and WMU. NIU loses to either WMU or Ohio
How it plays out: Toledo winning out minimizes tiebreakers. With a match-up to down WMU, they'd either need the Broncos to beat the Huskies or have Ohio try to peg them for a loss. Toledo is 7-1 and WMU and NIU are two (or more) loss teams.
Scenario #2: Toledo beats WMU. WMU beats NIU. Toledo loses to BG, NIU loses to Ohio
How it plays out: Similar to the prior one, just with a 6-2 tiebreaker. This could include CMU (who both WMU and UT would have wins over and thus advance to a head-to-head tiebreaker).
Scenario #3: NIU loses to WMU, WMU loses to UT, UT loses to BG, NIU beats Ohio
How it plays out: This one is a doozy. WMU, NIU, and UT would all be 6-2 with 1-1 records against each other. NIU drops out in the tie-breakers in one of two ways: (1) if CMU is involved, their combined head-to-head drops to 1-2 or (2) if CMU isn't involved, it goes to the West record, which NIU would have a 3-2 mark against the division. Either way, the tiebreaker then goes to the WMU/UT head-to-head which UT wins.
