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BG vs M the line starting to show M by 9.5

Posted: Mon Nov 14, 2005 8:52 am
by MACMAN
Well the lline is starting to show on this game and Miami is being picked by 91/2/
I have put my faith in our Falcons for numerous reasons.
One I feel this line is being heavily weight on past games between BGSU and miami.
Two the stats show a great game between two nearly evenly matched teams. This is all based upon total states, most of which drawn from when only half our game shows up. When you read between the lines here and realy look at our stats you can see our whole package has just started to gel.
Three and with the return of Omar seeming very real our D should be pumped and the whole package should be present for this job.
Four this game will determin the winer of the division. We have of late made our best outings in some of our bigest games. Going back to when this team started playing with most of our current players at Oklahoma. This game is bigger than any of those, because to win the MACC we must first beat Miami.


Now lets assume we beat toledo too....the road to the MACC might just go threw W. Mich.

Posted: Mon Nov 14, 2005 10:20 am
by 1987alum
While I believe the Falcons will win, Miami as a 9.5-point favorite seems logical to me.

I love being the underdog anyway!

Posted: Mon Nov 14, 2005 2:46 pm
by redhawk95
9.5? wow. perhaps the oddsmakers believe omar won't suit up.

i wonder if brandon will start turner just to throw us a bit, then bring in jacobs. don't know to what end, but it might make things interesting. we have not contained running qb's all season. assuming jacobs does play, maybe rotate turner and jacobs like a 1-2 punch with turner running out of the shotgun, mixing in precision throws from jacobs. that would be an interesting approach. if one is working better than the other, go with it...

Posted: Mon Nov 14, 2005 2:48 pm
by RobbyFalcon
Lines are based on one thing: Getting action. Vegas probably knows BG fans and bettors are a little down while MU fans are bettors are feeling pretty good. Therefore if they want any action they had to set a big line.

If it rains all night Monday and all day Tuesday, that 9 1/2 point spread will be huge and there'll be plenty of action on BG.

Who cares? I want a BG 'W' and it can be by 1, 9 or 9 1/2 even.

Go Falcons!!

Posted: Mon Nov 14, 2005 3:32 pm
by hammb
RobbyFalcon wrote:Lines are based on one thing: Getting action.
Exactly. Right now BG is 2-7 against the spread. The lines are going to start shifting far away from BG to get people to go against this trend. Sports gamblers spot trends from a mile away. When they see one team that consistently loses to the spread they'll move their money against that team. They're going to start skewing the spreads towards our opposition to even out that betting pattern.


I'm hitting up Vegas this weekend. Anyone that wants some action on the BG/UT game lemme know and I'll lay a wager for ya, and bring the ticket to the game on Tuesday.

Posted: Tue Nov 15, 2005 3:19 am
by doughash
I just got back from Vegas and the early line on the BG-UT game at the Imperial Palace had BG as a 3 pt favorite.

Posted: Tue Nov 15, 2005 9:47 am
by 1987alum
doughash wrote:I just got back from Vegas and the early line on the BG-UT game at the Imperial Palace had BG as a 3 pt favorite.
Well, since home field is usually worth 3 points, that's probably reasonable, too. We'll see what it looks like after this week, though.