TalonsUpPuckDown wrote: ↑Sun Feb 16, 2025 9:14 am
We have 4 games left, 12 available points. We're currently at 39 with a max of 51.
By the end of the season we need a total of 49 points to take over second. So, any combination of ten (10) points. That means we cannot lose a single game in regulation. Three regulation wins and an OT loss or 2 regulation wins and two OT/SO wins. The caveat...that assumes Tech loses at least one point. If we get 49 and they win out, we're tied and I think they hold the tiebreaker over us. If we get to 50 points and they win out, they're third and the Lucia Pets are 4th.
Looks like the tie breakers with Tech would be:
(1) Regulation wins
(2) Total Goals For and Total Goals Against
(3) Record against Mankato.
Tech is 1-3 against Mankato and BG is 0-2. Both teams are 0-1-1 against Augustana, so that still leaves Mankato as highest team.
I'm not even going to begin to try and wrap my head around the regulation win scenario that has them tied in the standings (is it even possible to tie points percentage without having identical records?).
Total Goals For and Total Goals Against is an interesting one. Tech has scored more goals in league, but also allowed more. Currently, BG is 58 for and 51 against which gives a 0.3 Margin. Tech is 63 for, 59 against for a 0.2 Margin. I'm guessing they are using the Margin since the actual wording says Goals For AND Against.
Bottom line, just win out and let everything else fall where it may.