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bgsufalcon24
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Post by bgsufalcon24 »

Well anyway, meaningless drivel aside, to get this thread back on track, Bowling Green's RPI moved up 5 places after Tuesday night's victory, from 57th to 52nd. That's on the outskirts of what an NCAA at-large selection would need to get into the tournament. Realistically, I think BG would need to get into the top 35 to all but ensure their spot in the draw. With the remaining schedule, even if the team is 27-2 heading into the MAC tournament I'm just not sure that BG will be able to get above 40-45 in the RPI numbers. We have two games left against horrible (200+ RPI) teams, Western Michigan and Buffalo. Only two games remain against teams in the RPI top 100, Miami and Kent. Those two are both in the 80s and 90s so they might not even be there at the end of the season, particularly Miami.

Bottom line - we need to win the MAC tournament, or else we face a really tough bubble because of our 200+ SOS.
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murphdogg
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Post by murphdogg »

If I were on the selection committee, I would not be able to leave out a 3 loss team in good conscience, regardless of strength of schedule
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gmartin
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Post by gmartin »

murphdogg wrote:If I were on the selection committee, I would not be able to leave out a 3 loss team in good conscience, regardless of strength of schedule
In 2006 a team went 28-3, lost in their Conf Final and was left out. Last year a team was 27-3 and was left out. So anything can happen on Selection Monday.
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NY-BG-FAN
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Post by NY-BG-FAN »

In 2006 we were 28-2 and won the conference tournament, and were given that 12 seed. That tells me had we lost in the conference tournament, BG wouldn't have gotten an at-large bid. Sure things change year to year, but using 2006 as a gauge it seems that if we don't win the MAC tournament, we won't get in, even if we are 28-3 or something crazy like that.
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