Statistical improvements
Posted: Mon Mar 04, 2019 7:04 am
I know the Falcons haven’t won as many games as we hoped they would this year, and a lot of people are pointing to the team's record and thinking that this team has not improved at all. But if you compare the team's statistics from last year to this year, this year's team made tremendous strides in offense. It is so much more improved than last year's teams. They're losing games because of defense only.
I did some poking around on Her Hoop Stats. (https://herhoopstats.com/" target="_blank) It’s a website that compiles advanced WBB data for all NCAA schools. They have data for both this year and last year, so I checked to see what BG has improved on. Statistically, the 2018-19 team has improved TREMENDOUSLY over last year’s team in offense. In offensive statistics, BG is in the top 20% of all DI schools. Last year, we were at the bottom 20% of nearly every category.
It’s actually an incredible improvement. BG got much, much better in nearly every offensive category. Here’s some data points if you’re interested:
This year BG is 32nd in the nation in Three Point Rate, and 48th in points per scoring attempt.
Total field goal percentage is now 42.3%, up from 36.8%. In 2017-18, BG was in the bottom 15% in the nation in field goal percentage. In 2018-19 we are top 25%. Another way to look at it - we went from 298th out of 349 to 82nd out of 351 - we moved up 216 spots.
Effective field goal percentage is now 49.8%, up from 43.2%. Assists per game is now 15.1 (top 15%), up from 9.1 (bottom 2%!!!). That means the ball is being shared MUCH more than it was last year. And, BG is #10 in the country in defensive rebounds per game (up from #134).
Defense is what’s killing us – statistically there has not been much improvement and we’re still in the bottom 20% in nearly every category. Opponent scoring and rebounding are really bad, and turnovers remain abysmal. Our offensive is really good now, but we’re not really stopping our opponents either. But, I remain very optimistic that BG’s getting everything turned around. The wins aren’t there this year, but the offense is finally there, and they made quite the turnaround in just one year.
Her Hoop Stats also does statistics per player, so here’s a few interesting notes: Statistically, Kadie Hempfling is a monster. Out of all DI players in the nation, she’s in the top 4% of Total Rebounds per game (139th in the nation); top 5% of assists per game (139th in the nation); top 20% in steals per game (637th). She’s a 5’9” freshman wing yet she’s dominating all of these categories. Most of your players in the top 4% of rebounding are your 6'4 - 6'7" centers like Kristine Anigwe and Teaira McCowan. Most players in top 5% of assists and steals are going to be guards.
It doesn’t seem like she’s gotten much of a spotlight, yet she’s doing it all for this team. In the MAC, Kadie is 10th in total reb/game, 18th in offensive reb/game, 12th in defensive reb/gme, 10th in assists/game, and 19th in steals/game. She ought to make the all-freshman team even without flashy points-per-game numbers. She doesn’t score a whole lot, but she’s doing literally everything else on the court.
Also, Sydney Lambert is the 20th player in the nation in minutes per game played at 37.2 mpg. That's 20th out of 3,423 DI players. So only 19 more women in the country play more minutes than her. How many more ways can I say that she plays too much? There's a reason this team runs out of gas in the 4th quarter.
Anyway, this is a long post, but Falcon fans, don't despair. We made huge strides this year even if the win/loss record doesn't show it.
I did some poking around on Her Hoop Stats. (https://herhoopstats.com/" target="_blank) It’s a website that compiles advanced WBB data for all NCAA schools. They have data for both this year and last year, so I checked to see what BG has improved on. Statistically, the 2018-19 team has improved TREMENDOUSLY over last year’s team in offense. In offensive statistics, BG is in the top 20% of all DI schools. Last year, we were at the bottom 20% of nearly every category.
It’s actually an incredible improvement. BG got much, much better in nearly every offensive category. Here’s some data points if you’re interested:
This year BG is 32nd in the nation in Three Point Rate, and 48th in points per scoring attempt.
Total field goal percentage is now 42.3%, up from 36.8%. In 2017-18, BG was in the bottom 15% in the nation in field goal percentage. In 2018-19 we are top 25%. Another way to look at it - we went from 298th out of 349 to 82nd out of 351 - we moved up 216 spots.
Effective field goal percentage is now 49.8%, up from 43.2%. Assists per game is now 15.1 (top 15%), up from 9.1 (bottom 2%!!!). That means the ball is being shared MUCH more than it was last year. And, BG is #10 in the country in defensive rebounds per game (up from #134).
Defense is what’s killing us – statistically there has not been much improvement and we’re still in the bottom 20% in nearly every category. Opponent scoring and rebounding are really bad, and turnovers remain abysmal. Our offensive is really good now, but we’re not really stopping our opponents either. But, I remain very optimistic that BG’s getting everything turned around. The wins aren’t there this year, but the offense is finally there, and they made quite the turnaround in just one year.
Her Hoop Stats also does statistics per player, so here’s a few interesting notes: Statistically, Kadie Hempfling is a monster. Out of all DI players in the nation, she’s in the top 4% of Total Rebounds per game (139th in the nation); top 5% of assists per game (139th in the nation); top 20% in steals per game (637th). She’s a 5’9” freshman wing yet she’s dominating all of these categories. Most of your players in the top 4% of rebounding are your 6'4 - 6'7" centers like Kristine Anigwe and Teaira McCowan. Most players in top 5% of assists and steals are going to be guards.
It doesn’t seem like she’s gotten much of a spotlight, yet she’s doing it all for this team. In the MAC, Kadie is 10th in total reb/game, 18th in offensive reb/game, 12th in defensive reb/gme, 10th in assists/game, and 19th in steals/game. She ought to make the all-freshman team even without flashy points-per-game numbers. She doesn’t score a whole lot, but she’s doing literally everything else on the court.
Also, Sydney Lambert is the 20th player in the nation in minutes per game played at 37.2 mpg. That's 20th out of 3,423 DI players. So only 19 more women in the country play more minutes than her. How many more ways can I say that she plays too much? There's a reason this team runs out of gas in the 4th quarter.
Anyway, this is a long post, but Falcon fans, don't despair. We made huge strides this year even if the win/loss record doesn't show it.