Jacobs Draft Stock...rising?

Discussion of the Falcon football team.
User avatar
Warthog
Freak Wanna-be!!
Freak Wanna-be!!
Posts: 7042
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 9:57 am
Location: Bowling Green, OH

Post by Warthog »

I know hammb will disagree, but I won't be sad to see Bryant move on. Underachiever who has his best season in a contract year = spending way too much money to see him drop every third pass thrown his way next four seasons. :twisted: My point is that it is not worth overpaying a guy who had a career year just because there is no one else available. I would put Winslow at WR and use Heiden at TE.

I would try to trade Green for an extra draft pick (third or fourth round :shrug: ) or another WR that was in a similar situation as Bryant when then acquired him. Problem is the RB market will be plenty crowded with James, Alexander, Jamaal Lewis, DeShaun Foster all potential in the free agent pool.
"An intelligent man is sometimes forced to be drunk to spend time with his fools."
- Ernest Hemingway
User avatar
Jacobs4Heisman
a.k.a. Capt. Rex Kramer
a.k.a. Capt. Rex Kramer
Posts: 7889
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2004 7:59 pm
Location: Aliquippa, PA

Post by Jacobs4Heisman »

Realistically, the Browns are at least another year away from the playoffs. They will try to fill as many holes as possible via the draft this year and then go from there. I don't think they're that concerned about losing Bryant. The Steelers have been rumored to be looking at Bryant to potentially replace Randle El if he leaves. I hope to God they don't (and I don't think they will). Bryant does not impress me at all and I don't particularly want him on my team.

With another WR and an upgraded OL, the Browns offense could be very good by either midseason or the beginning of the 2007 season. Combine that with a Crennel defense, and you have the makings of a playoff-caliber football team. If Frye develops and increases his arm strength, and is given time to gel with weapons like Braylon and Winslow, the Browns could cause some problems in the North...Just not this year. I think going into 2006, you still have to rate them fourth in the division. It's not as wide of a gap as it has been, but they have a ways to go still. By 2007, they could be right up there if Savage and Co. can put two more solid drafts together.
Roll Along!
User avatar
hammb
The Stabber of Cherries
The Stabber of Cherries
Posts: 14434
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:21 am
Location: Bowling Green

Post by hammb »

If any GM gives you a 6th rounder for Willie Green they'll get fired the next day.

Heiden is, I believe, also a FA this year. Personally I don't like that guy at all. Cannot block, and too slow to make many plays in the passing game. And for that matter he drops as many passes as Bryant does.

Bryant may be an underachiever, but he was VERY good for Cleveland in 2004 as well, putting up over 500 yards for the Browns while still learning their offense (I think he started like 7 games). Then this year he had a breakout year. Looking back at his career he was also tremendous for a rookie with 700 yards & 6 TDs that year.

He's not the most consistent guy, with a lot of drops, but if you look back at his career the only time he's really struggled was under Parcells. He & Bill didn't really see eye to eye and that really impacted his ability to even get on the field, let alone make plays. The fact is he was one of 20 guys to top 1000 yards this year. I really think you could make a case for him being in the top 30-40 WRs in the league last year, and I just don't see how the worst offense in the NFL can afford to let a guy like that go.

It should also be noted that his drop % is really not much, if any, higher than guys like Chad Johnson or TO. He doesn't have the big play capability of those guys, but he is a very solid #2 WR.

I don't advocate overpaying him, but if he could be locked up with a $5 million signing bonus and maybe $3-4 million per, I would definitely do it. We'll see what the market dictates his price to be. I know one thing, he's a helluva lot better than anybody else on the current roster and likely better than anyone they can add this offseason.

I just hate the thought of that crappy ass offense actually losing talented players :(.
User avatar
hammb
The Stabber of Cherries
The Stabber of Cherries
Posts: 14434
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:21 am
Location: Bowling Green

Post by hammb »

Jacobs4Heisman wrote: The Steelers have been rumored to be looking at Bryant to potentially replace Randle El if he leaves. I hope to God they don't (and I don't think they will). Bryant does not impress me at all and I don't particularly want him on my team...

...I think going into 2006, you still have to rate them fourth in the division. It's not as wide of a gap as it has been, but they have a ways to go still. By 2007, they could be right up there if Savage and Co. can put two more solid drafts together.
Bryant doesn't offer the abilities in the PR/KR game, and doesn't have the abilities to pull off the trick plays, but I think you'd find him to be an upgrade over Randle El as a true WR. I cannot see them really doing that though, because they wouldn't resign Plaxico, so I really don't see them ponying up the cash for Bryant...that's just not their style. I really hope Bryant doesn't go to Pittsburgh. He's one of those players that isn't great, but he's good enough to make us regret letting him walk twice a year.

As for 2006, I think the Browns very well could overtake the Ravens for 3rd place in the division, but still are a ways behind Pitt/Cin. The draft is obviously huge, but we cannot forget that the Browns have more cap space than any other team in the league...if they spend wisely they could be in a position to dramatically improve their team in one offseason.
User avatar
Jacobs4Heisman
a.k.a. Capt. Rex Kramer
a.k.a. Capt. Rex Kramer
Posts: 7889
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2004 7:59 pm
Location: Aliquippa, PA

Post by Jacobs4Heisman »

hammb wrote: Bryant doesn't offer the abilities in the PR/KR game, and doesn't have the abilities to pull off the trick plays, but I think you'd find him to be an upgrade over Randle El as a true WR. I cannot see them really doing that though, because they wouldn't resign Plaxico, so I really don't see them ponying up the cash for Bryant...that's just not their style. I really hope Bryant doesn't go to Pittsburgh. He's one of those players that isn't great, but he's good enough to make us regret letting him walk twice a year.

No doubt he'd be an upgrade at WR. ARE is not a great wide receiver. He's a serviceable #2-3 guy whereas Bryant would immediately be 1-A to Hines. I just don't like Bryant's head, and I don't think the Steelers would either. I would much rather see a guy like Morgan or Nate Washington be groomed for the number 3 slot, move wilson to #2 and draft a guy in the mid rounds. Either that or sign a Jurevicious type FA.


Best case scenario is they keep ARE. The versatility a guy like that brings is almost irreplaceable. If they do lose him, don't be surprised to see them draft a Michael Robinson type in the mid rounds. Pittsburgh has too many other cap priorities to go after a ? like Bryant.

There is some intriguing WR depth in the 2-3 rounds this year. I would not be surprised at all to see Cleveland go that direction and save the cap space from Bryant.
Roll Along!
moneymaker02
Peregrine
Peregrine
Posts: 1049
Joined: Fri Nov 04, 2005 3:05 pm
Location: Charlotte, NC

Post by moneymaker02 »

when did this turn into a browns forum????? and o how i love browns fans, always so optimistic :D , but reality is they won't make the playoffs for a very long time because of cincinatti and pitt, and also, the ravens are better than the browns right now. bryant is the go to guy, he won the best wide reciever in college and they got a steal when all they had to give up was quincy morgan who is god awful. also, they won't get deshaun foster, carolinas not gonna let him go anywhere. the browns problem is they don't have a number 2 reciever to compliment bryant. People around here used to say the browns recieving core was one of the best in the nfl when andre davis was their number 1 and I laughed in their faces. Davis is now what, the 4th or 5th reciever for the patriots??? They need a number 2 reciever like peerless price was to moulds in buffalo a few years ago and a all new offensive line to protect frye.
dduncan
Peregrine
Peregrine
Posts: 632
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 4:06 pm
Location: So. Cal.
Contact:

Post by dduncan »

As hammb said before, it's not the Steelers style to go after and pay big money for top FA talent, if Bryant is considered one. The last 2 big FA signs for skill position people for the Steelers are Wilson and Duce, correct? Duce is either going to have to restructure his contract or get cut, and Wilson is actually probably better fit for the slot receiver where Randle-El occupied.

Therefore, if the Browns have this money and don't want to pay the big $ to Bryant, David Givens is a great alternative. Solid #2 WR that just goes out and plays. No baggage.

Jurevicius would be a decent option for the Steelers, but he may get more money than the Steelers are willing to give up. If so I think Quincy Morgan is their #2. That way, you move Wilson to the slot and draft a WR like Stovall with their 2nd round pick.
User avatar
hammb
The Stabber of Cherries
The Stabber of Cherries
Posts: 14434
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:21 am
Location: Bowling Green

Post by hammb »

moneymaker02 wrote:when did this turn into a browns forum????? and o how i love browns fans, always so optimistic :D , but reality is they won't make the playoffs for a very long time because of cincinatti and pitt, and also, the ravens are better than the browns right now. bryant is the go to guy, he won the best wide reciever in college and they got a steal when all they had to give up was quincy morgan who is god awful. also, they won't get deshaun foster, carolinas not gonna let him go anywhere. the browns problem is they don't have a number 2 reciever to compliment bryant. People around here used to say the browns recieving core was one of the best in the nfl when andre davis was their number 1 and I laughed in their faces. Davis is now what, the 4th or 5th reciever for the patriots??? They need a number 2 reciever like peerless price was to moulds in buffalo a few years ago and a all new offensive line to protect frye.
I don't remember too many Browns fans saying that they ever had one of the best WR corps in the NFL, but they were thought to be pretty good. They had a lot of young talent with Kevin Johnson, Morgan, Davis, and Northcutt. Unfortunately none of them really developed into anything. FWIW, Davis was NEVER the number one option of that group. It was KJ until he was released, then it was Morgan. Then it was Antonio. I suppose Andre might've been the #1 in the couple games between the Morgan trade and when Antonio got the starting role. I don't think Bryant is really a #1 right now either. Braylon will be the #1, they are wanting AB to come back as the #2. That combo would definitely be in the top half of the league, IMO.

I don't know who said anything about the Browns pursuing Foster, they wouldn't want him. He's injury & fumble prone. I'd like to see them pick up another back, because I'm not that enamored with Droughns, personally. I don't think Foster would be that back. I'd rather get one from the draft. Either a DeAngelo Williams if he drops to #12, or a guy like Calhoun in the 2nd/3rd. Droughns had a good year last year, but he has no explosiveness whatsoever. Green & Suggs are essentially worthless. You can almost always find RB depth in the mid rounds of the draft, and what they really need is a change of pace back to spell Droughns.

As for the Ol to protect Frye they could certainly stand to improve, but they were not that awful this past year. When Dilfer played I think they had a 3-4 game stretch without even allowing a sack. Charlie took a lot of sacks by holding the ball way too long, something all young QBs struggle with. I'd say the group played average, but not spectacular, last year. I certainly would like to see them bring in one or two guys (through draft or FA) that could be future starters for this team, because most of the OL is getting up there (Andruzzi, Tucker, Shelton's a FA).
dduncan wrote: Jurevicius would be a decent option for the Steelers, but he may get more money than the Steelers are willing to give up. If so I think Quincy Morgan is their #2. That way, you move Wilson to the slot and draft a WR like Stovall with their 2nd round pick.
You guys will be sorely disappointed if you have to move Morgan to the #2 slot...people want to say that Bryant has the dropsies? Jurevicius would be a real good fit, he'd also fit in Cleveland, IMO. He is 31 years old, which might bring down his price some, but he had a very good year in Seattle this season and will probably make some cash. He'd be the one guy that I could see as being a better option than Bryant in this FA class. However, you want to talk about guys having big years in a contract year? He caught nearly as many passes & yards as the last 3 years combined, and had more TDs this year than those past 3 years. Injuries were a concern in some of those years, but it's not like Jurivicius has been real consistent for his career either, and his best season was this year, but not really any better than AB had this year in Cleveland (AB had more catches & more yards, JJ had more TDs, but his team was in a lot more TD opportunities). AB is also 6-7 years younger than Jurivicius. Givens would be a good alternative, as well, he's more consistent than AB, but doesn't have the upside really.
User avatar
Warthog
Freak Wanna-be!!
Freak Wanna-be!!
Posts: 7042
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 9:57 am
Location: Bowling Green, OH

Post by Warthog »

Jurevicius is a Cleveland native. Hmmm.

Sorry hammb, but I am all against resigning Bryant. Look at it this way. Droughns is the #1 component of the offense. If you look at the passing game, Edwards will be your #1 option, Winslow #2. Whoever the other WR is the Browns put on the field, he is going to be the #4 option. Do you want to be paying $5 mil a season for the fourth option? Yes, they need a second WR for 2006. But come 2007 and on after Edwards and Winslow have taken over, you'd look back at signing Bryant for that kind of cash as the stupid this a GM could have done.

Save the dollars and invest in the defense. I think I read it here http://www.ohio.com/mld/ohio/sports/col ... 853881.htm , but it looks like the Browns will be going after the BIG FAs this year. Last year they went for quantity over quality because there was such a lack of talent. Now that more of the 'role' players are in the fold, this off-season they will be looking for some real studs to spend the money on.

And in case you didn't know it, I think Terry Pluto is one of the best sportswriter around. I look forward to reading his "View from Pluto" on Sunday mornings and receiving his weekly e-mail update.
"An intelligent man is sometimes forced to be drunk to spend time with his fools."
- Ernest Hemingway
User avatar
Jacobs4Heisman
a.k.a. Capt. Rex Kramer
a.k.a. Capt. Rex Kramer
Posts: 7889
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2004 7:59 pm
Location: Aliquippa, PA

Post by Jacobs4Heisman »

The Browns could always go and sign the Free-agent bust-to-be Shaun Alexander. That dude is going to severely disappoint some fan base next fall if he leaves Seattle.
Roll Along!
User avatar
hammb
The Stabber of Cherries
The Stabber of Cherries
Posts: 14434
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:21 am
Location: Bowling Green

Post by hammb »

Warthog wrote:Jurevicius is a Cleveland native. Hmmm.

Sorry hammb, but I am all against resigning Bryant. Look at it this way. Droughns is the #1 component of the offense. If you look at the passing game, Edwards will be your #1 option, Winslow #2. Whoever the other WR is the Browns put on the field, he is going to be the #4 option. Do you want to be paying $5 mil a season for the fourth option? Yes, they need a second WR for 2006. But come 2007 and on after Edwards and Winslow have taken over, you'd look back at signing Bryant for that kind of cash as the stupid this a GM could have done.
I don't know, I think I'd like myself a lot better for resigning the somewhat proven commodity of AB a lot more than I would if I put all my hopes on 2 guys coming off major injuries. One of whom has only played in like 4 football games since he left his college campus over 2 years ago. Droughns is going into the last year of his deal as well. I know they'd like to re-sign him but his agent is still Drew Rosenhaus, so who knows how that will go. If everything goes perfectly with Droughns getting locked up for another 3-4 years with Braylon & Kellen both getting healthy and becoming the players they were thought to be on draft day, you're right. However, as a Browns fan I've grown used to the fact that usually things don't go right for them. I think it's far easier to re-sign AB for modest WR money and have a guy that you can readily expect 800-1100 yards for the next 3-4 years than to rely on 2 guys coming off injuries and a RB with a flakey agent to re-sign.
Save the dollars and invest in the defense. I think I read it here http://www.ohio.com/mld/ohio/sports/col ... 853881.htm , but it looks like the Browns will be going after the BIG FAs this year. Last year they went for quantity over quality because there was such a lack of talent. Now that more of the 'role' players are in the fold, this off-season they will be looking for some real studs to spend the money on.

And in case you didn't know it, I think Terry Pluto is one of the best sportswriter around. I look forward to reading his "View from Pluto" on Sunday mornings and receiving his weekly e-mail update.
I like reading Pluto, and I do give think he's a good writer. I have seen that their philosophy will be to go after the big name FAs this year, but I'm still anxious to see who they get. The fact is that most years the best FAs are locked up or franchised before FA even starts, so they never really hit the market. If they can find 2-3 real studs to spend the money on, in lieu of Bryant, then fine, but I think it's just as likely that there is nobody out there to take their money.

Letting Bryant walk pretty much guarantees that you have to go out and sign at least one FA WR as well. There is talk that Edwards may start the year on the PUP list, meaning he wouldn't be eligible for return to the team till October. That leaves them with Northcutt, Jackson, and Cribbs at WR. Better hope that Winslow is ready to go 100%, because he'll be the only one with a shot at getting open with that group out there.
User avatar
Warthog
Freak Wanna-be!!
Freak Wanna-be!!
Posts: 7042
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 9:57 am
Location: Bowling Green, OH

Post by Warthog »

hammb wrote:Jurevicius would be a real good fit, he'd also fit in Cleveland, IMO. He is 31 years old, which might bring down his price some, but he had a very good year in Seattle this season and will probably make some cash. He'd be the one guy that I could see as being a better option than Bryant in this FA class. However, you want to talk about guys having big years in a contract year? He caught nearly as many passes & yards as the last 3 years combined, and had more TDs this year than those past 3 years. Injuries were a concern in some of those years, but it's not like Jurivicius has been real consistent for his career either, and his best season was this year, but not really any better than AB had this year in Cleveland (AB had more catches & more yards, JJ had more TDs, but his team was in a lot more TD opportunities). AB is also 6-7 years younger than Jurivicius. Givens would be a good alternative, as well, he's more consistent than AB, but doesn't have the upside really.
As you point out, Jurivicous has had lots of injury problems. His Seattle situation is interesting though. He was signed to be their fourth WR, behind Jackson, Koren Robinson, and Engram. K-Rob gets released, Jackson and Engram get hurt and suddenly Juricvicos is the #1 guy. never before was he more than a second or third option. That is why his numbers are better then any of his previous seasons.
"An intelligent man is sometimes forced to be drunk to spend time with his fools."
- Ernest Hemingway
dduncan
Peregrine
Peregrine
Posts: 632
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 4:06 pm
Location: So. Cal.
Contact:

Post by dduncan »

My list of available UFA WRs are:

1. R Wayne (more than likely franchised)
2. D Givens
3. A Bryant
4. A Randle El
5. J Jurevicius
6. K McCardell
7. K Robinson
8. D Boston
9. T Brown
10. R Gardner
11. J Gaffney
11a. Az-zahir Hakim
11b. Reche Caldwell

RFA:

1. N Burleson
2. K Curtis
3. B Lloyd
4. K Washington
5. A Battle
User avatar
Warthog
Freak Wanna-be!!
Freak Wanna-be!!
Posts: 7042
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 9:57 am
Location: Bowling Green, OH

Post by Warthog »

Call me crazy, but I would take a shot on Boston (and his steroids :wink: )
"An intelligent man is sometimes forced to be drunk to spend time with his fools."
- Ernest Hemingway
User avatar
hammb
The Stabber of Cherries
The Stabber of Cherries
Posts: 14434
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:21 am
Location: Bowling Green

Post by hammb »

Warthog wrote:Call me crazy, but I would take a shot on Boston (and his steroids :wink: )
As would I...but I have a soft spot since I loved him at OSU :)
Post Reply