Last year's Gonzaga is not a perfect comparison. Whereas BGSU lost by 4 points to both Delaware and Kentucky, Gonzaga got destroyed by New Mexico and ASU. ASU was good and made a nice run in the NCAA tourney, but on Selection Sunday, they had 9 loses. Gonzaga also lost the WCC championship game by 9 or 11.brewer wrote:Ahhh, ignorance must be bliss.bgsufalcon24 wrote: It's impossible for a 3-loss team to not make NC's. To leave out a 3-loss team would be unprecedented for both men's and women's b-ball as far as I know. As for the remainder of the regular season, the only game our girls could possibly lose is when Kent State comes to AA next Wednesday. Their final games other than Kent are Ohio (4-8 in conference), Buffalo (2-10) and Miami (3-9). You can chalk up 3 more wins right there. Bottom line is, if we beat Kent State, we get our tickets punched to NCAA's. We'll be top 20 nationally at 25-2 by the time the MAC tournament rolls around, making that even if we lose there, we wouldn't even fall out of the national top 25 most likely, unless if it is to somebody horrible like Akron.
I just don't see how a team can go 25+ wins and not make NC's with only 3 losses. It's impossible, never been done before, would be the biggest screwjob in the history of college athletics, I just don't see it.
The cold reality is that it is actually quite common.
Last year's perfect comparison would be Gonzaga. In fact, they are an eerily similar example. Gonzaga was undefeated in their conference regular season. They were 27-2 going into their conference tournament championship game. The two losses were tough early season road losses to New Mexico and Arizona State. Gonzaga was ranked in BOTH the AP and coaches polls. Then they lost their tourney finals to Santa Clara. They finished 27-3, yet dropped out of both polls, were snubbed by the NCAA, and went to the WNIT.
By the way, Delaware (who beat BG this year) was 25-5 last year and also had to settle for the WNIT.
Women are NCAA-Bound
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BGSUfalcons
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If we are seeded 11, like most predictions say, we would have to beat a 6 seed (very possible), a 3 seed (25-30 % chance of a win depending on matchup), and then a 2 seed (Probably 10-20% chance of a win). That's a really tough road to the Elite 8. The Sweet 16 is a very real possibility. If you would have told me that 4 years ago, I would have had you institutionalized.
The big thing now is sustaining. Ask any coach and they will tell you sustaining a winning program is much tougher than building it. Right now, Keeping Miller should be a priority for the new AD.
The big thing now is sustaining. Ask any coach and they will tell you sustaining a winning program is much tougher than building it. Right now, Keeping Miller should be a priority for the new AD.
Roll Along!
