MAC Report Online's 2006 Football Preview

Discussion of the Falcon football team.
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Dayons_Den
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Post by Dayons_Den »

hammb wrote:
BGSUfalcons wrote:
Jacobs4Heisman wrote:
BGSUfalcons wrote:There is a 0% chance that BG will finish as low as 4th in the MAC East.
I would have said the same about us losing to both WMU and Akron last year.
Even without Omar?
Irrelevant. If you discount those losses last year based on having Omar get injured your statement now reads as saying, "There is 0% chance that BG will suffer no key injuries."

It is never a good idea to predict things as being impossible. Things happen. Personally, I don't see where we're so good that 4th place is out of the question. This team is rebuilding, and none of us really knows what to expect from this team this year. Most of the key contributors have been backups in the past, and only time will tell whether they're ready to step up to the challenge or not.
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Post by BGSUfalcons »

hammb wrote:
BGSUfalcons wrote:
Jacobs4Heisman wrote:
BGSUfalcons wrote:There is a 0% chance that BG will finish as low as 4th in the MAC East.
I would have said the same about us losing to both WMU and Akron last year.
Even without Omar?
Irrelevant. If you discount those losses last year based on having Omar get injured your statement now reads as saying, "There is 0% chance that BG will suffer key injuries."

It is never a good idea to predict things as being impossible. Things happen. Personally, I don't see where we're so good that 4th place is out of the question. This team is rebuilding, and none of us really knows what to expect from this team this year. Most of the key contributors have been backups in the past, and only time will tell whether they're ready to step up to the challenge or not.
Of course my question is not irrelevant. J4H wrote what he would have said about BG's chances before the WMU and Akron games and I asked if he would have said the same thing knowing that Omar wasn't playing.

I'm glad that you worded the following sentence as a hypothetical, because I never (at least not in this thread :) ) subscribed to the antecedent of it: "If you discount those losses last year based on having Omar get injured your statement now reads as saying, 'There is 0% chance that BG will suffer key injuries.'" Regardless of whether or not I subscribed to the antecedent, the consequent doesn't follow from anything that I wrote. I think that, even if BG suffered one or two key injuries, BG would finish higher than 4th in the MAC East.

My only error, besides perhaps wearing orange and brown colored glasses, was in not moving the decimal point over (assuming that BG finishing as low as 4th in the MAC East is not impossible).

New statement about the possibility of BG finishing as low as 4th in the MAC East:

There is a 0.1% chance that BG will finish as low as 4th in the MAC East
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