Florida International Prediction Thread

bgmaggot00 · Post by **bgmaggot00** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:58 pm

Any thoughts this week?

I'm going with a bit more conservative of an estimate of last week, and I'm going to say:

BG: 28
FIU: 24

jpfalcon09 · Post by **jpfalcon09** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:05 pm

FIU 27
BGSU 21

Call me nuts, but I keep thinking about the USF game from 2003 and this has the same feel to it for me. A long road trip to Florida might be tough for this young team, especially against a team that is improved from the last 2 years. I'm nervous about this one, especially with all the special team miscues.

Jacobs4Heisman · Post by **Jacobs4Heisman** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:07 pm

Way too early for a prediction. I need to see midweek quotes and injury updates.

I just pray for a big point spread so I can keep making money off of Gregg Brandon.

BGSUFootballFan · Post by **BGSUFootballFan** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:30 pm

It is way too early to put numbers up yet. I know little to nothing about FIU other than they are horrid, and I am so mad at BG/GB right now that I dont know what to think for the rest of the season. Even prior to seeing the UW and UB games I felt that this game was a trap because of the long trip to FL and the potentially nice weather!

Spart43 · Post by **Spart43** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 9:36 pm

I predict that my nose will get badly sun burned on the beaches in the bahamas at least three days before the game. Most likely my ears and the back of my neck too.

I wonder if snake man will show up in Miami....

Globetrotter · Post by **Globetrotter** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 9:45 pm

BG 42
FIU 21

This team is on the cusp of being very good.

cowboyjoe · Post by **cowboyjoe** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 9:50 pm

Way too early for a prediction. I need to see midweek quotes and injury updates.

I just pray for a big point spread so I can keep making money off of Gregg Brandon

Say what you want but you would be in the poor house if you bet against the spread against us since Brandon has been here.

BOWLING GREEN is 23-13 ATS in home games since 1996
- BOWLING GREEN is 21-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record since 1996
- BOWLING GREEN is 10-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1996
- BOWLING GREEN is 12-4 ATS vs. poor offensive teams - averaging <=310 YPG since 1996
- BOWLING GREEN is 11-3 ATS after having lost 3 out of its last 4 games since 1996
- Over the L5 seasons, BOWLING GREEN is 7-1 ATS when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards
- Over the L5 seasons, BOWLING GREEN is 8-1 ATS when they are outgain its opponents by 100-150 yards

BOWLING GREEN is 9-3 ATS vs. a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996
The Falcons reliable passing attack is no match for the weaker teams on the schedule over the years.
Potential '06 Plays – 9/9 Buffalo, 10/14 E. Mich., 10/28 @ Temple

* BOWLING GREEN is 19-11 ATS off a home win since 1996
BG has been upper echelon team for years in the MAC and is especially rugged after when they keep piling up the victories.
Potential '06 Plays – 9/16 @ Flor. Int., 9/30 @ Ohio U

Jacobs4Heisman · Post by **Jacobs4Heisman** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 9:58 pm

cowboyjoe wrote:Way too early for a prediction. I need to see midweek quotes and injury updates.

I just pray for a big point spread so I can keep making money off of Gregg Brandon

Say what you want but you would be in the poor house if you bet against the spread against us since Brandon has been here.

BOWLING GREEN is 23-13 ATS in home games since 1996
- BOWLING GREEN is 21-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record since 1996
- BOWLING GREEN is 10-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1996
- BOWLING GREEN is 12-4 ATS vs. poor offensive teams - averaging <=310 YPG since 1996
- BOWLING GREEN is 11-3 ATS after having lost 3 out of its last 4 games since 1996
- Over the L5 seasons, BOWLING GREEN is 7-1 ATS when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards
- Over the L5 seasons, BOWLING GREEN is 8-1 ATS when they are outgain its opponents by 100-150 yards

BOWLING GREEN is 9-3 ATS vs. a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996
The Falcons reliable passing attack is no match for the weaker teams on the schedule over the years.
Potential '06 Plays – 9/9 Buffalo, 10/14 E. Mich., 10/28 @ Temple

* BOWLING GREEN is 19-11 ATS off a home win since 1996
BG has been upper echelon team for years in the MAC and is especially rugged after when they keep piling up the victories.
Potential '06 Plays – 9/16 @ Flor. Int., 9/30 @ Ohio U

Huh? I'm not positive but I think we were in the neighborhood of 4-8 ATS last year and we're an easy 0-2 this year.

What exactly do cumulative stats back to '96 have to do with Brandon's tenure? If we keep getting these huge spreads like we have the last year+, I'll be laughing all the way to the bank.

EDIT**** -- only 3-8 ATS last year since we only played 11 games.

That's 3-10 over his last 13. Eeeeeeeeeeasy money.

San Diego Falcon · Post by **San Diego Falcon** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 10:02 pm

FIU 24
BGSU 13

If we had "normal" special teams, I would have said BGSU 24 FIU 10

Tricky_Falcon · Post by **Tricky_Falcon** » Sun Sep 10, 2006 10:10 pm

San Diego Falcon wrote:FIU 24
BGSU 13

If we had "normal" special teams, I would have said BGSU 24 FIU 10

Did you also factor in FIUs poor ST?

Rightupinthere · Post by **Rightupinthere** » Mon Sep 11, 2006 12:01 am

BG by a touchdown. I'm unsure of how the young 'uns are going to answer after their Saturday "experience."

Schadenfreude · Post by **Schadenfreude** » Mon Sep 11, 2006 6:07 am

Rightupinthere wrote:BG by a touchdown. I'm unsure of how the young 'uns are going to answer after their Saturday "experience."

I think we will improve. What makes me nervous is that Florida International might be better than we expect. They lost at South Florida by a point.

It's tough to get a read on South Florida -- their other game was a blow out of McNeese State -- but, as we know, that's not a bad program.

BG by a touchdown is my hope.

Rightupinthere · Post by **Rightupinthere** » Mon Sep 11, 2006 9:35 am

Schadenfreude wrote:
Rightupinthere wrote:BG by a touchdown. I'm unsure of how the young 'uns are going to answer after their Saturday "experience."
I think we will improve.

I'm sure they will improve experience-wise. I was targeting my remark more to the three overtimes plus two rain delays. That makes for a very long and exhausting day. We'll see if that effects their fire.

FIUGonnaLose · Post by **FIUGonnaLose** » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:02 am

BGSUFootballFan wrote:I know little to nothing about FIU other than they are horrid

I hope you and your team keep thinking that we're horrid and we get underestimated on Saturday...Univ of South Florida was almost taught a lesson this past Saturday...here's what they had to say afterwards.

http://www.thebullspen.com/cgi-bin/yabb ... 1157881219

San Diego Falcon · Post by **San Diego Falcon** » Mon Sep 11, 2006 1:33 pm

Originally posted by San Diego Falcon:
FIU 24
BGSU 13

If we had "normal" special teams, I would have said BGSU 24 FIU 10
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Did you also factor in FIUs poor ST?
_________________

yes

Florida International Prediction Thread

Florida International Prediction Thread

Underestimating as well?