NCAA Chances

gmartin · Post by **gmartin** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 2:49 pm

With our win today we are now 28-3 and our RPI beginning the day was 38, and should rise to 36 or 37. So if we were to lose tomorrow we will be 28-4, RPI around 40. We are certainly on the bubble. I know Greg Christopher can not vote on our team but it sure does help having in on the NCAA Selection Committee.

Jacobs4Heisman · Post by **Jacobs4Heisman** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 3:37 pm

Yeah, we're not on the bubble.

jpfalcon09 · Post by **jpfalcon09** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 4:46 pm

Win or NIT, simple as that. Just the reality of being a mid-major program.

bgsufalcon24 · Post by **bgsufalcon24** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 4:49 pm

Jacobs4Heisman wrote:Yeah, we're not on the bubble.

What does that mean? Is it we have no shot at an at-large, or we're in for sure even with a loss tomorrow?

Looking at the other teams on the bubble (South Florida, Mississippi, Georgia, Minnesota, etc), I'd say our chances are pretty good. Our SOS isn't as good as those teams, but our RPI is better in all cases, and our record is 6, 7, even 8 games better. We'll just have to see.

For what its worth, Ball State is getting talked about as a bubble team as well, and our profile is better than theres in every facet except for SOS.

Rollo83 · Post by **Rollo83** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 6:29 pm

NCAA selection committee does not use RPI in their criteria. Strength of schedule they do.

Jacobs4Heisman · Post by **Jacobs4Heisman** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 6:55 pm

Rollo83 wrote:NCAA selection committee does not use RPI in their criteria. Strength of schedule they do.

The committee absolutely uses RPI as a part of their evaluation.

24 - we're not getting an at-large. It's not fair, but it's the way it is.

BgWaRrIoR · Post by **BgWaRrIoR** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 6:57 pm

I think after a win today, you cannot COMPLETELY rule it out.

Jacobs4Heisman · Post by **Jacobs4Heisman** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 7:03 pm

BgWaRrIoR wrote:I think after a win today, you cannot COMPLETELY rule it out.

I think we're a viable tourney team, and what I value in a resume is there. The OOC schedule was very light, but we dominated it after a rough start. We then had a fantastic in conference record in a tough conference, based on the conf RPI numbers. We have some quality wins over some decent teams.

The problem is, the committee has consistently shunned teams with resumes similar to ours. I'm talking shunned like clockwork. 4-loss mid major teams with our SOS simply don't make the cut. I hate it, but until I see something different, I'm going to assume we'd suffer the same fate if tomorrow's game doesn't go well.

I of course have some hope that the tourney committee might go against it's m.o. and let us in, but I just don't believe it will happen.

San Fran Falcon · Post by **San Fran Falcon** » Sat Mar 14, 2009 9:05 pm

JUST WIN BABY!!

BGSUfalcons · Post by **BGSUfalcons** » Sun Mar 15, 2009 1:04 pm

In 2006 the team had a better record, higher RPI, better SOS, won the conference tournament, was ranked in both major polls, and got jobbed with a #12 seed. I wouldn't count on an at-large this year.

jburket · Post by **jburket** » Sun Mar 15, 2009 9:26 pm

BGSUfalcons wrote:In 2006 the team had a better record, higher RPI, better SOS, won the conference tournament, was ranked in both major polls, and got jobbed with a #12 seed. I wouldn't count on an at-large this year.

Not that it really matters - - but in 2007, we had #10 seed, NOT a #12.........

theziggies · Post by **theziggies** » Sun Mar 15, 2009 9:57 pm

jburket wrote:
BGSUfalcons wrote:In 2006 the team had a better record, higher RPI, better SOS, won the conference tournament, was ranked in both major polls, and got jobbed with a #12 seed. I wouldn't count on an at-large this year.
Not that it really matters - - but in 2007, we had #10 seed, NOT a #12.........

Actually, 2006 - 12 seed
2007 - 7 seed

(2005 - 13 seed)