latest Bracket Projections

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gmartin
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by gmartin »

3 more straight wins and it doesn't matter if Michigan makes it in or not because with 3 straight wins BG will win the MAC championship!!! If BG plays like it did against KSU and UB we will be hard to beat. Just imagine how scary good if LP, TP, Maggie, Jen and Chrissy all play their A game at the same time. I believe the key to us win the Championship will be if Chrissy can average about 12 pts and we can get a combined 16 pts and 10 boards from Jen and Maggie.

In the past 3 years BG has never lost a game if it shot over 50 percent and only two games when it scored over 70. If we can get to 70 points I like our chances
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by BGFalconfromCincy »

gmartin wrote:3 more straight wins and it doesn't matter if Michigan makes it in or not because with 3 straight wins BG will win the MAC championship!!!
Thats all that needs to be said, or matter for that fact, at the moment
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gmartin
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by gmartin »

We are listed under the 'Next Four Out'. Regardless THREE straight wins and we are Dancing!!! Let the madness begin!!
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by Class of 61 »

bgsufalcon24 wrote:
gmartin wrote:As of this morning's projections, Sun Mar 6, Charlie Creme and Jerry Palm each have Michigan as one of its last 4 teams in the field. Michigan is 17-12, 10-/ in Big 10. They lost to Illinois in the Big 10 quarters. Illinois has lost 12 straight games and its RPI at that time was 187. Illinois RPI now is still 163.

Michigan as said is 17-12, 10-6, 6-4 in last 10 games. Two bad losses in those last 10 games and RPI is currently 65. Rutgers isn't much better but they have quality losses and its RPI is low 20s so I know longer have an issue with them. I am not saying BG should replace Michigan as there are other teams with just as good or better resume but the bottom teams in the Big 10 are bad and Michigan feasted on the bad and had a 50/50 record against the rest. Curious to see how AD Christopher would do next year. Would he be for or against the power conferences?

The only explanation I can see is that Palm is looking at our losses to Evansville and Western Michigan, and discrediting us as a result. (Can't necessarily blame him, both of those games were absolute backbreakers to our overall resume, if we won those we'd probably be ranked and looking at a 6 or 7 seed.)

Odd that so many posters refer to a ONE POINT loss in the 1st game of the season as a "bad loss"....I'll buy the WMU game, which was a stunner for most Falcon fans...but those things DO happen occasionally... Just have a hard time describing the Evansville game as a "bad loss"... (And no... I haven't looked up the Aces' record..just don't think losing a 1 pt. game can be considered BAD. :roll:
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by transfer2BGSU »

Class of 61 wrote: Odd that so many posters refer to a ONE POINT loss in the 1st game of the season as a "bad loss"....I'll buy the WMU game, which was a stunner for most Falcon fans...but those things DO happen occasionally... Just have a hard time describing the Evansville game as a bad loss"... (And no... I haven't looked up the Aces' record..just don't think losing a 1 pt. game can be considered BAD. :roll:
Just remember Den, these Internet Guru's make the coaching staff :lol: . This squad lost 4 games by a total of 14 points with three of those losses by 1 point. This is a good squad.

BTW - the Purple Aces are 8-21 this season. Contrary what these gurus will say, it was one game and we lost by 1 point.

If we were not to win the MAC tourney and did not make the NCAA tourney, this one loss would not be the reason for our exclusion. The MAC is seen as a one-bid league. While it may not be fair, it's the cards that we are dealt. Hopefully the other ADs on the committee will see our compilation of work (25 victories with several victories over previous tournament teams) and will reward us for our successes.
"The name on the front of the jersey is more important than the name on the back" -Herb Brooks
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by BGSUE »

Transfer Thanks for info on this squad. I've missed 4 games-- 2 'cause they were toooo far away, 1 'cause Mother Nature just loves snow this time of yr. ugh :!: & 1 'cause of sinus "cement"

Agreed this is a good squad. As I typed on other threads can we aim for Wed. game at high noon & go from there?

All the people who are siiting in their computer chairs filling threads better get up, "fly" to Cland---safely, $$$ 4 a ticket find a seat & help the squad win THE NEXT GAME!!!! I know I'm shouting---something I come by naturally but that's the only item we have control over at THIS moment.
Yes it not far but what is?
Just BBBB in the Q!!!!!
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by Rollo83 »

Don't get "Bracketology" from Charlie Creme? See what he has listed currently on his ESPN page for the women's tournament. BG was in the "next four out" category last night. Today, they are no where to be found.

Better RPI and than almost all listed and we are the only one getting votes in this week's AP Poll. I know our Strength of Schedule is weak, but I thought the RPI took schedule strength into consideration?

I know us winning the MAC is the most important thing for us, but not sure why we don't get more national respect?

Compare our numbers to those listed...

Bowling Green 25-4, 43 RPI, three votes in AP poll this week

Last Four In
Southern California 17-11, 38 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
LSU 19-13, 51 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
Texas 18-12, 39 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
Michigan 17-12, 59 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week

First Four Out
Duquesne 22-8, 48 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
TCU 21-9, 68 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
Dayton 20-10, 46 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
Boston College 18-12, 76 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week

Next Four Out
Kansas 19-11, 78 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
Northwestern 18-13, 66 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
Charlotte 23-8, 60 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
Arizona 19-10, 75 RPI, no votes in AP poll this week
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by gmartin »

He aslo has Toledo playing OSU. I hope that is true and BG would slide into that spot when we win the Championship. OSU is play very well right now. Just won the Big 10 Championship. I would love to get the chance to play them again and for LP to light it up on the outside. Lavender may get us for 40 but I still would like the challenge.
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by bgsufalcon24 »

Rollo, it's not just us, most of that list you posted doesn't make sense.

Clearly conference tournament performance doesn't mean anything. If it did, Dayton would be in over Michigan. Dayton has beaten several solid teams to make the finals of the A-10 tournament while Michigan got clocked by the worst team in the Big 10 in the first round of the B10 tournament. Dayton's record and RPI are better than Michigan's as well.

If you go by the normal axim that going sub-.500 in your own conference is a disqualifier, then Texas still being in is a head-scratcher. They are 7-9 in the Big XII, and didn't beat a single ranked opponent in conference play. Kansas is on the board despite going 6-10 in the Big XII. SIX AND TEN!!

Boston College and Arizona are up there despite their RPIs being in the 70s. Nobody ever gets picked as an at-large above 70, I can't remember the last time that happened. And yet these teams are more deserving than BG is? Bull.

And here's the coup de grace. Of the teams within the Last Four In/Last Four Out/Next Four Out range here that are within BCS conferences, EVERY SINGLE ONE of them has double digit losses.

The only plausible explanation I have for all of this is that the Creme is expecting the tournament committee to look at team's SOS's very heavily, to the point where not much else matters.
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by gmartin »

Yes it is only projections and yes I strongly believe we need to win the MAC Championship to get into the field of 64 but we are back in the Next 4 out group. We are slotted 69 if you do the math. Interestingly, Dayton was 69 before the A-10 tournament. With them making the championship game they are slotted in the field. So maybe just maybe if we make the championship game we too will make the field. Still fun looking everyday.
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by unfalconbelievable »

One reason we are a one bid conference................MONEY.

The MAC doesn't travel well, the crowds are small and traditionally have trouble competing against larger conferences. This isn't just for Womens Basketball but stands for MAC football, Mens Basketball, volleyball, baseball,etc. Yes, we can say can have defenses and say this magical win on the road or magical year, but it comes down to money, which transfers to scholarships, which transfers to better players which turns into wins which turns into more people at the games which means more money. So basically our way to make things better, go to games and become falcon club members. I do both and as rich a tradition as womens basketball has created for itself on campus and even on a mid-major national level we still at 27-4 are in need of winning the conference tourney title to get in. Garbage if you ask me, but I'm not on the committee.

Here is hoping for another tourney run and getting to the sweet 16 again. Slap us with a 13 seed in the tourney and Curt Miller and company will use that as motivation to get where they need to go.

Roll Along..............
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by gmartin »

The MAC doesn't travel well. BG, BSU and Ball State travel very well. Just asking Michigan State AD. A few years ago BG had the largest crowd he has ever seen from a school. I bet BG will have about 2000 fans in the Q this weekend. If they were to put BG or UT in as an at large bid and they play 4 hours within home driving distance they would have just as many or if not more fans. So you can throw the money aspect out the window. Now if you were talking about MAC football against a BCS school I would agree with you but when It comes to women's basketball your statement about BG fans not traveling well is not valid. Sore the rest of the MAC don't travel well no arguments there but other than BG or UT there are no other at large teams even to think about. The two teams you could consider for an at large will travel better than 1/2 the teams in the field.
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by factman »

I agree. If you look back at the Sweet 16 run, BG had arguably, the largest crowd of the the teams in Greensboro too.
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by gmartin »

Latest projections have Dusquene, Dayton and Michigan all in the field and BG out.

BG has a better record than any of them. BG is 26-4. Dusquene is 22-8, Dayton 21-11, and Michigan 17-12. BG RPI is better than all. BG is 9-1 in its last 10.

But BG only needs to win TWO more straight games and all this doesn't matter. I been looking at the projections since the beginning on Feb. Ever since I have BG hasn't lost so I will continue looking and posting each day :)

GO FALCONS
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Re: latest Bracket Projections

Post by BGSUE »

gmartin
keep looking and posting :supz:
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