TalonsUpPuckDown wrote:To be eligible for the dance, teams must finish with a win % >= .500 and there are 5 teams in front of us who are not sure things, especially the 3 Nacho teams:
Rank Team W-L-T Win %
9t Omaha 14-13-1 0.518
9t Minnesota Duluth 14-13-3 0.517
13 Western Michigan 14-13-1 0.518
15 Michigan 14-13-3 0.517
17 Penn State 13-12-5 0.517
Before people drop a duke on me, I'm on the record saying it's still a ridiculously incredible long shot for an at-large. But there would be more than enough schadenfreude to go around should the vaunted Nacho conference knock a couple of their own out based on W/L/T.
Very interesting. I was not aware of the win percentage rule.
Omaha plays North Dakota and Western plays St. Cloud State this weekend. Michigan also plays two with Notre Dame. All 3 teams being swept would move them under .500, and thus make them ineligible for an at-large bid. Very interesting next few weeks coming up.
mbenecke wrote:Very interesting. I was not aware of the win percentage rule.
Omaha plays North Dakota and Western plays St. Cloud State this weekend. Michigan also plays two with Notre Dame. All 3 teams being swept would move them under .500, and thus make them ineligible for an at-large bid. Very interesting next few weeks coming up.
Conference playoffs are included in the W/L/T totals so there's still a fair amount of variability remaining. Based on current conference standings, Omaha would play at Western in the first round of the Nacho playoffs. Penn State would travel to Michigan for the first round of the B1G playoffs. Both formats are like ours, best 2 of 3.
We still need to sweep every series, including playoffs. Then hope for a miracle.
Moved up to #17 Pairwise. From what I see we need the following teams to lose tonight to help us going into final week. Need some teams to finish under. 500. Need Northeastern out of the top 16 since they are not their conference leader for the automatic bid. Don't need them taking up a bid if somebody else wins the conference tournament. So from what I see we need to have the following teams lose tonight: Penn State, North Dakota, Western Michigan and Michigan (Sun). BG may then come in next week at #16. And then more scenarios next week as well.
gmartin wrote:Moved up to #17 Pairwise. From what I see we need the following teams to lose tonight to help us going into final week. Need some teams to finish under. 500. Need Northeastern out of the top 16 since they are not their conference leader for the automatic bid. Don't need them taking up a bid if somebody else wins the conference tournament. So from what I see we need to have the following teams lose tonight: Penn State, North Dakota, Western Michigan and Michigan (Sun). BG may then come in next week at #16. And then more scenarios next week as well.
Penn State's win tonight drops us back to 18. Even if the others in your scenario all lose, we're still at 18. The only "if only..." would have been to hold on to that tie at NMU. We'd be at 16 instead of them. Need to bring home the hardware in the playoffs.
Penn State is now 14-13-5. They play Minnesota next week. If they would get swept they would be under .500 and even if they won the quarterfinal game and lost in the Big 10 semis they would still finish under .500 and not qualify. NMU has to go to Tech next week but Tech is not playing very well as of late.
gmartin wrote:Penn State is now 14-13-5. They play Minnesota next week. If they would get swept they would be under .500 and even if they won the quarterfinal game and lost in the Big 10 semis they would still finish under .500 and not qualify. NMU has to go to Tech next week but Tech is not playing very well as of late.
