jpfalcon09 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 08, 2023 4:08 pm
TommyG wrote: ↑Sun Oct 08, 2023 3:59 pm
mbenecke wrote: ↑Sun Oct 08, 2023 2:26 pm
[quote=TommyG post_id=456787 time=<a href="tel:1696770766">1696770766</a> user_id=52309]
They aren’t paying for 2 years of a buyout…he’ll be back
They paid 2.5 years for Jinks. If it needs to be done, they will find a way to make it work.
Only way he’s gone is if everything falls apart. They’re significantly more talented than Akron, Kent State and Ball State…throw in UB and Western…I think they’ll likely win 3 of those 5 games. I don’t necessarily think they’ll be impressive wins but I think BG is just more talented and will muck it up to 3 wins.
Like Flipper said…they’ll blame the early schedule and he’ll be back.
Schad will be on the MAC boards saying how 2024 will Loeffler’s year.
Losing regular season record and he's probably gone. He's losing a ton of talent next year. Prime opportunity to move on and hit the reset button, even if it means becoming this year's Kent State.
Truthfully, I think this program is going to struggle to ever be relevant again against the current landscape of college football. The money investment isn't there. Decent coaches can make more money being an assistant at a P5 school. Being a head coach here is career suicide.
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I am with you in agreement that the ceiling on this program is lower than it was 20 yrs ago. But I suppose it depends on your definition of "relevant nationally." I think our days of being anything more than cannon fodder for the best in the NCAA are long gone. UM played as awful as they possibly could and we still didn't even really compete with them. But with the right leader I'm 100% still of the belief we can compete for MAC titles and expect to compete and beat the meh P5 teams. Hell, Loeffler is horrible but beat GaTech and Minnesota. That FPI 40-80 range is probably our ceiling for reasonably competing but maybe in our nest years we could hope to knock off a bottom tier top-25 but that is still a bit of a reach.
Realistically we'll almost never keep a draftable QB on our roster long enough for him to mature anymore. NIL alone guarantees that since even meh P5 QBs can make some bank. A Matt Johnson college star with no real pro shots is probably our upper tier hopes to keep them in the program long enough to excel. This alone puts a pretty harsh ceiling on the program and conference. This league isn't going to have Josh Harris, Omar Jacobs, Roethlisberger, Cribbs, and Gradkowsk all at the same time ever again.
You did hit on something I've been mentioning though with regards to career paths for coaches. There is almost zero path to the upper levels of collegiate coaching from HC in the MAC. Your best bet really is to leave the HC spot for a coordinator slot in the P5 like ksu coach going to Colorado, but even that's a tough road where the MAC stop offers little value. I've been griping forever that I like hiring fcs HCs because they've had experience in their roles, but there is also the argument that it's our best bet to find ascending coach talent. This is still a promotion (and pay raise) from coaching most fcs teams to the MAC. Urban was famously a WR coach at ND. There's no way in hell he takes a BG hc job now; top tier WR coaches make more than Loeffler and also have a far more viable path to top-25 HC gigs. MAC HCs, most of the time, are going to peak with head jobs at P5 nothings like Syracuse, Minnesota, or wake forest. Those are all good places to make a lot of money but those guys will never win enough games to get real shots at top 20 jobs.